The Dutch Banking Association (NVB) published new internet banking fraud numbers yesterday. Compared to their numbers about half a year ago, there is a very significant increase in amount of damage. Previous numbers indicated a factor of two for 2011 compared to 2010, but apparently the fraud further increased in the second half of 2011, resulting in a factor of 3.5 increase. The total damage is now also adding up to €35M. Although NVB is correct is stating this is relatively not a lot (0.001% of total internetbanking volume), €35M is still €35M. Note that this amount is what they reimbursed to customers that were a victim of internet banking fraud (i.e. phishing). Costs associated with prevention, detection etc are not part of this amount.
What worries me most is the relative increase of these numbers, from 2009 to 2010 the damages increased fivefold, and from 2010 to 2011 they increased by a factor of 3.5. Playing with these numbers, damages in 2012 could be €70M (if the banks manage to slow down the increase to a factor of 2) or €122M if it stays a factor of 3.5. Banks, of course together with police, (Electronic Crimes Taskforce etc), will need to slow down this growth.